Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC77%
Draw15%
Al Shabab8%
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.74
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.3%
- 3–010.1%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Shabab will not mind.
60%Possession49%
55%Territory47%
26%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Al Shabab.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.