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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15

Al-Faisaly

ALL

Al Khaleej

ALK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Faisaly34%
Draw28%
Al Khaleej39%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.42

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession52%
35%Territory41%
19%From set plays34%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.0%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Khaleej.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.