Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al Khaleej
ALL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly36%
Draw30%
Al Khaleej34%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.17
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–110.8%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession49%
32%Territory48%
39%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Khaleej.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Khaleej
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.