Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al Kholood
ALO
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood9%
Draw15%
Al Hilal76%
Expected goals
0.88 – 2.65
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–39.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–38.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Kholood will not mind.
50%Possession59%
40%Territory54%
13%From set plays28%
0.18Chance quality0.15
5.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Kholood, 3 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.