Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq51%
Draw25%
Al Hazem25%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.20
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
41%Territory40%
30%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Ettifaq
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.