Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Abha
ABH
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha40%
Draw29%
Al Riyadh31%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.14
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Riyadh get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession38%
34%Territory27%
8%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al Riyadh.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.