Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Neom SC
NEO
Al Kholood
ALO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC51%
Draw25%
Al Kholood24%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.14
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession50%
40%Territory40%
17%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.18
6.4%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 3 for Al Kholood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.