Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Neom SC
NEO
Al Kholood
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC50%
Draw27%
Al Kholood23%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.02
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession51%
42%Territory43%
35%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.16
7.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 4 for Al Kholood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.