Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Taawoun47%
Draw27%
Abha26%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.13
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Taawoun will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
54%Possession42%
44%Territory34%
13%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 4 for Abha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.