Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Taawoun42%
Draw31%
Abha27%
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.94
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.9%
- 0–110.8%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Taawoun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession43%
37%Territory38%
40%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.6%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 4 for Abha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.