Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Shabab
ALS
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab39%
Draw27%
Al-Ettifaq34%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.40
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
47%Territory48%
19%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al-Ettifaq.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.