Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh37%
Draw26%
Al Hazem36%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.48
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–08.0%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession44%
37%Territory40%
14%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al Hazem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.