Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh38%
Draw28%
Al Hazem34%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.29
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Riyadh get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
38%Possession44%
27%Territory43%
39%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.