Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC47%
Draw24%
Al Qadsiah28%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.39
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession61%
43%Territory52%
33%From set plays9%
0.15Chance quality0.14
4.7%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Al Qadsiah. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.