Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Khaleej
ALK
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Khaleej28%
Draw26%
Al Ittihad46%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.64
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession56%
41%Territory47%
34%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.14
5.1%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 3 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.