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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14

Al Khaleej

ALL

Al Ittihad

ALI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Khaleej24%
Draw26%
Al Ittihad50%

Expected goals

1.09 – 1.65

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 0111.2%
  • 129.6%
  • 028.4%
  • 007.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession53%
48%Territory47%
28%From set plays9%
0.07Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Al Ittihad.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.