Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Hilal
ALH
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal74%
Draw16%
Al Diriyah10%
Expected goals
2.47 – 0.83
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.5%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–09.1%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
58%Possession45%
48%Territory38%
24%From set plays36%
0.18Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.