Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14
Al Hilal
ALH
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal82%
Draw13%
Al Diriyah5%
Expected goals
2.64 – 0.55
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.7%
- 3–012.6%
- 1–011.4%
- 4–08.1%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
59%Possession49%
54%Territory44%
28%From set plays18%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al Diriyah. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hilal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.