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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 14

Al-Fayha

ALF

Al Fateh FC

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Fayha43%
Draw27%
Al Fateh FC30%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.24

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Fayha will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.

48%Possession40%
33%Territory43%
17%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.1%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Al Fateh FC.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.