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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Al-Fayha

ALF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Qadsiah79%
Draw14%
Al-Fayha7%

Expected goals

2.75 – 0.77

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.5%
  • 3–010.2%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al-Fayha will not mind.

61%Possession48%
52%Territory33%
9%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.0%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al-Fayha.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.