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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Al-Fayha

ALF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Qadsiah73%
Draw17%
Al-Fayha10%

Expected goals

2.34 – 0.77

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.3%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–09.2%
  • 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al-Fayha will not mind.

57%Possession48%
44%Territory32%
13%From set plays12%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al-Fayha.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.