Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly28%
Draw28%
Al Diriyah43%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.41
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.8%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession45%
32%Territory38%
39%From set plays36%
0.11Chance quality0.14
6.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.