Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al-Faisaly
ALL
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly41%
Draw28%
Al Diriyah31%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.18
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–08.9%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession49%
35%Territory44%
19%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.11
7.0%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.