Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al Kholood
ALK
Al Khaleej
ALL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood50%
Draw26%
Al Khaleej23%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.04
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession49%
43%Territory48%
20%From set plays28%
0.16Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Khaleej.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.