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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13

Al Kholood

ALO

Al Khaleej

ALK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Kholood40%
Draw25%
Al Khaleej35%

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.59

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession52%
40%Territory41%
13%From set plays34%
0.18Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Khaleej. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.