Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al Ittihad
ALI
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad44%
Draw27%
Neom SC28%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.16
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession55%
47%Territory42%
9%From set plays35%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Ittihad, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Ittihad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.