Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem12%
Draw18%
Al Nassr FC70%
Expected goals
0.92 – 2.37
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.7%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–18.1%
- 0–38.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.
44%Possession54%
40%Territory43%
24%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.15
5.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 3 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.