Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem13%
Draw20%
Al Nassr FC67%
Expected goals
0.87 – 2.13
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.4%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–37.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.
44%Possession60%
43%Territory55%
21%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 4 for Al Nassr FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.