Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC45%
Draw27%
Al Riyadh28%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Riyadh get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession38%
34%Territory27%
20%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al Riyadh.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.