Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq10%
Draw18%
Al Hilal72%
Expected goals
0.76 – 2.27
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.6%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–39.2%
- 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Ettifaq will not mind.
49%Possession59%
41%Territory54%
30%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.2%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 3 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Ettifaq
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.