Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq13%
Draw19%
Al Hilal68%
Expected goals
0.96 – 2.30
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–18.5%
- 1–37.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession58%
48%Territory48%
19%From set plays24%
0.08Chance quality0.18
4.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 5 for Al Hilal.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.