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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13

Al-Ettifaq

ALE

Al Hilal

ALH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Ettifaq10%
Draw18%
Al Hilal72%

Expected goals

0.76 – 2.27

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–212.6%
  • 0–111.5%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–39.2%
  • 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Ettifaq will not mind.

49%Possession59%
41%Territory54%
30%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.2%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 3 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.