Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Abha
ABH
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha21%
Draw25%
Al Shabab55%
Expected goals
1.01 – 1.75
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.6%
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
43%Possession57%
38%Territory42%
23%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.15
8.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 3 for Al Shabab. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.