Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 13
Al Ahli
ALA
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ahli76%
Draw15%
Al-Taawoun9%
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.82
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.4%
- 3–09.4%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ahli will have the ball; Al-Taawoun will not mind.
52%Possession42%
45%Territory37%
20%From set plays40%
0.21Chance quality0.12
5.5%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Ahli, 4 for Al-Taawoun. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.