Copa Libertadores · Quarter-finals
Flamengo
FLA
Independiente del Valle
INP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Flamengo51%
Draw25%
Independiente del Valle24%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.12
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession63%
38%Territory45%
32%From set plays14%
0.26Chance quality0.06
6.0%Directness9.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Flamengo, 1 for Independiente del Valle. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Independiente del Valle
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 4 of 119 matches, not the full season.