Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Aldosivi
ALD
River Plate
RIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aldosivi34%
Draw26%
River Plate40%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.61
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
River Plate get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession45%
34%Territory44%
21%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.09
8.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aldosivi, 3 for River Plate. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.