Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Aldosivi
ALD
River Plate
RIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aldosivi17%
Draw16%
River Plate67%
Expected goals
1.59 – 3.03
Over 2.5
83%
Both to score
76%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.4%
- 1–37.3%
- 2–35.8%
- 2–25.7%
- 1–45.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
River Plate will have the ball; Aldosivi will not mind.
41%Possession66%
33%Territory53%
26%From set plays10%
0.09Chance quality0.13
8.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aldosivi, 3 for River Plate. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.