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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Barracas Central

BAR

Racing Club

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Barracas Central58%
Draw22%
Racing Club20%

Expected goals

2.09 – 1.19

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barracas Central will have the ball; Racing Club will not mind.

64%Possession54%
48%Territory38%
49%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.1%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barracas Central, 3 for Racing Club. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.