Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Barracas Central
BAR
Racing Club
RAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barracas Central64%
Draw21%
Racing Club15%
Expected goals
2.02 – 0.89
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.5%
- 2–011.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Club will have the ball; Barracas Central will not mind.
51%Possession64%
39%Territory45%
5%From set plays40%
0.08Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barracas Central, 3 for Racing Club. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Barracas Central
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.