Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Gimnasia LP

GIN

Belgrano

BEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gimnasia LP43%
Draw26%
Belgrano31%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.34

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession51%
40%Territory38%
23%From set plays30%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gimnasia LP, 3 for Belgrano. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.