Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Gimnasia LP

GIN

Belgrano

BEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gimnasia LP44%
Draw21%
Belgrano35%

Expected goals

2.24 – 2.01

Over 2.5

78%

Both to score

78%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 3–25.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

42%Possession64%
37%Territory47%
40%From set plays15%
0.21Chance quality0.12
10.8%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gimnasia LP, 3 for Belgrano. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.