Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Rosario Central
ROS
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
ESU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rosario Central61%
Draw23%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto16%
Expected goals
1.86 – 0.89
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession63%
40%Territory48%
25%From set plays60%
0.11Chance quality0.07
8.2%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rosario Central, 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.