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Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Rosario Central

ROS

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

ESU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rosario Central58%
Draw22%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto19%

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.10

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rosario Central will have the ball; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto will not mind.

62%Possession47%
38%Territory42%
27%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rosario Central, 3 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Rosario Central

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.