Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Tigre
TIG
Sarmiento
SAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Tigre53%
Draw25%
Sarmiento22%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.09
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession36%
42%Territory37%
33%From set plays3%
0.07Chance quality0.09
7.0%Directness9.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Tigre, 3 for Sarmiento. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sarmiento
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 225 matches, not the full season.