Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Banfield
BAN
Atlético Tucumán
ATL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Banfield29%
Draw28%
Atlético Tucumán44%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.45
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
37%Possession32%
33%Territory40%
48%From set plays12%
0.05Chance quality0.09
7.2%Directness9.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Banfield, 2 for Atlético Tucumán. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Banfield
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Atlético Tucumán
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.