Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Banfield

BAN

Atlético Tucumán

ATL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Banfield30%
Draw23%
Atlético Tucumán47%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.97

Over 2.5

67%

Both to score

69%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.3%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 0–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Banfield will have the ball; Atlético Tucumán will not mind.

41%Possession29%
37%Territory32%
49%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.12
9.6%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Banfield, 3 for Atlético Tucumán. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.