Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Boca Juniors
BOC
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boca Juniors59%
Draw20%
Defensa y Justicia20%
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.35
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.2%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession52%
28%Territory38%
3%From set plays23%
0.19Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Boca Juniors, 3 for Defensa y Justicia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Boca Juniors
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.