Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Boca Juniors
BOC
Defensa y Justicia
DEF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boca Juniors42%
Draw30%
Defensa y Justicia28%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.04
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–010.9%
- 0–110.0%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession60%
40%Territory47%
19%From set plays6%
0.10Chance quality0.07
3.8%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Boca Juniors, 2 for Defensa y Justicia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Boca Juniors
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.