Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Independiente
IND
Deportivo Riestra
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Independiente55%
Draw25%
Deportivo Riestra20%
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.96
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession36%
42%Territory44%
21%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.07
6.1%Directness10.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Independiente, 2 for Deportivo Riestra. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.