Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Independiente
IND
Deportivo Riestra
DEP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Independiente44%
Draw29%
Deportivo Riestra27%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.05
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–09.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession33%
39%Territory37%
19%From set plays53%
0.08Chance quality0.05
8.5%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Independiente, 3 for Deportivo Riestra. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.