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Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Talleres

TAL

Estudiantes

EST

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Talleres41%
Draw25%
Estudiantes34%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.48

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 218.7%
  • 127.8%
  • 107.7%
  • 016.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Estudiantes get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

59%Possession58%
49%Territory36%
18%From set plays37%
0.07Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Talleres, 3 for Estudiantes. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.