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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Instituto

INS

Newell's Old Boys

NEW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Instituto39%
Draw29%
Newell's Old Boys31%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.15

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Newell's Old Boys will have the ball; Instituto will not mind.

45%Possession58%
40%Territory32%
30%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.09
10.8%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Instituto, 3 for Newell's Old Boys. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.