Primera División · Clausura - Round 16
Central Córdoba de Santiago
CEN
Lanús
LAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Central Córdoba de Santiago30%
Draw23%
Lanús46%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.94
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 2–17.0%
- 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession56%
36%Territory40%
27%From set plays43%
0.06Chance quality0.12
9.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Central Córdoba de Santiago, 2 for Lanús. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Central Córdoba de Santiago
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.