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Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Central Córdoba de Santiago

CEN

Lanús

LAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Central Córdoba de Santiago17%
Draw23%
Lanús61%

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.93

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–111.4%
  • 0–210.3%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 1–36.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession49%
36%Territory35%
18%From set plays48%
0.05Chance quality0.10
8.7%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Central Córdoba de Santiago, 3 for Lanús. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.