Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 16

Gimnasia Mendoza

GIM

Independiente Rivadavia

INE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gimnasia Mendoza32%
Draw22%
Independiente Rivadavia46%

Expected goals

1.85 – 2.19

Over 2.5

75%

Both to score

75%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–35.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession45%
40%Territory40%
24%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.4%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gimnasia Mendoza, 3 for Independiente Rivadavia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.