Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Independiente Rivadavia
INE
Banfield
BAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Independiente Rivadavia72%
Draw14%
Banfield14%
Expected goals
3.53 – 1.71
Over 2.5
88%
Both to score
79%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 3–16.8%
- 2–15.9%
- 4–15.9%
- 3–25.7%
- 4–25.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Banfield get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession41%
40%Territory37%
23%From set plays49%
0.15Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness9.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Independiente Rivadavia, 3 for Banfield. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Independiente Rivadavia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.