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Primera División · Clausura - Round 15

Independiente Rivadavia

INE

Banfield

BAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Independiente Rivadavia48%
Draw26%
Banfield26%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.15

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession37%
42%Territory33%
31%From set plays48%
0.07Chance quality0.05
8.1%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Independiente Rivadavia, 2 for Banfield. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Banfield

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 221 matches, not the full season.