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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 15

Atlético Tucumán

ATL

Argentinos Juniors

ARG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Tucumán42%
Draw27%
Argentinos Juniors31%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.28

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Argentinos Juniors will have the ball; Atlético Tucumán will not mind.

29%Possession65%
32%Territory38%
24%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.2%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Tucumán, 3 for Argentinos Juniors. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.