Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Huracán
HUR
Tigre
TIG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Huracán58%
Draw19%
Tigre24%
Expected goals
2.72 – 1.81
Over 2.5
82%
Both to score
78%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.4%
- 3–16.5%
- 2–26.5%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–15.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession49%
33%Territory40%
3%From set plays41%
0.15Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Huracán, 3 for Tigre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.