Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Sarmiento
SAR
Rosario Central
ROS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sarmiento30%
Draw24%
Rosario Central46%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.90
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
30%Possession57%
36%Territory40%
21%From set plays25%
0.14Chance quality0.11
14.8%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Sarmiento, 2 for Rosario Central. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Sarmiento
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.