Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
ESU
Gimnasia LP
GIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto23%
Draw22%
Gimnasia LP56%
Expected goals
1.35 – 2.14
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.5%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–17.1%
- 0–27.0%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
63%Possession42%
48%Territory37%
60%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.21
6.3%Directness10.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, 2 for Gimnasia LP. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.