Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Belgrano
BEL
Barracas Central
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Belgrano50%
Draw27%
Barracas Central23%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.98
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Belgrano will have the ball; Barracas Central will not mind.
64%Possession51%
47%Territory39%
15%From set plays5%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Belgrano, 3 for Barracas Central. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Barracas Central
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.