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Primera División · Clausura - Round 15

Racing Club

RAC

Aldosivi

ALD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Racing Club41%
Draw21%
Aldosivi38%

Expected goals

2.25 – 2.16

Over 2.5

80%

Both to score

79%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 227.2%
  • 216.8%
  • 126.4%
  • 116.4%
  • 325.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Racing Club will have the ball; Aldosivi will not mind.

64%Possession41%
45%Territory33%
40%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness8.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Club, 3 for Aldosivi. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.