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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 15

Newell's Old Boys

NEW

Unión

UNI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Newell's Old Boys44%
Draw24%
Unión32%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.50

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

65%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession42%
33%Territory36%
32%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.09
8.2%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Newell's Old Boys, 2 for Unión. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.