Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Estudiantes
EST
Instituto
INS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Estudiantes38%
Draw29%
Instituto32%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.16
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Estudiantes will have the ball; Instituto will not mind.
58%Possession49%
36%Territory38%
37%From set plays40%
0.07Chance quality0.06
7.6%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Estudiantes, 3 for Instituto. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.