Primera División · Clausura - Round 15
Boca Juniors
BOC
River Plate
RIV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Boca Juniors39%
Draw21%
River Plate40%
Expected goals
2.18 – 2.21
Over 2.5
80%
Both to score
79%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.3%
- 1–26.7%
- 2–16.6%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–35.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
48%Possession66%
28%Territory53%
3%From set plays10%
0.19Chance quality0.13
5.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Boca Juniors, 3 for River Plate. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Boca Juniors
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.