Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
River Plate
RIV
Racing Club
RAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
River Plate84%
Draw9%
Racing Club7%
Expected goals
3.94 – 1.28
Over 2.5
88%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
-2.50
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.3%
- 4–17.1%
- 3–05.8%
- 2–15.6%
- 5–15.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Club get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
66%Possession64%
53%Territory45%
10%From set plays40%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for River Plate, 3 for Racing Club. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.