Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Aldosivi
ALD
Belgrano
BEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aldosivi18%
Draw18%
Belgrano64%
Expected goals
1.48 – 2.72
Over 2.5
78%
Both to score
72%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.4%
- 1–37.4%
- 1–16.3%
- 2–26.0%
- 0–25.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Belgrano will have the ball; Aldosivi will not mind.
41%Possession64%
33%Territory47%
26%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.12
8.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aldosivi, 3 for Belgrano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.