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Primera División · Clausura - Round 14

Barracas Central

BAR

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

ESU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Barracas Central51%
Draw30%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto19%

Expected goals

1.33 – 0.72

Over 2.5

34%

Both to score

39%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1017.4%
  • 0014.0%
  • 1112.3%
  • 2010.8%
  • 018.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession63%
39%Territory48%
5%From set plays60%
0.08Chance quality0.07
6.7%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barracas Central, 2 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.