Primera División · Clausura - Round 14
Rosario Central
ROS
Huracán
HUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rosario Central60%
Draw19%
Huracán21%
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.51
Over 2.5
75%
Both to score
72%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.1%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–05.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession43%
40%Territory33%
25%From set plays3%
0.11Chance quality0.15
8.2%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Rosario Central, 2 for Huracán. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.