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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Primera División · Clausura - Round 14

Tigre

TIG

Atlético Tucumán

ATL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Tigre31%
Draw25%
Atlético Tucumán44%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.73

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Tigre will have the ball; Atlético Tucumán will not mind.

49%Possession29%
40%Territory32%
41%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.2%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Tigre, 3 for Atlético Tucumán. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 36 of 390 matches, not the full season.